Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.006744 0.007865 0.009194 0.010909 0.013095 0.015838 0.019618
2025-04-20 0.005472 0.006889 0.008767 0.011522 0.015621 0.021790 0.032448
2025-04-27 0.004716 0.006240 0.008416 0.011913 0.017763 0.027995 0.049764
2025-05-04 0.004116 0.005642 0.007938 0.011892 0.019149 0.033566 0.070851
2025-05-11 0.003675 0.005180 0.007546 0.011862 0.020449 0.039647 0.100285
2025-05-18 0.003283 0.004727 0.007073 0.011551 0.021071 0.044628 0.134563
2025-05-25 0.002927 0.004280 0.006536 0.010990 0.020961 0.047774 0.169024
2025-06-01 0.002657 0.003943 0.006135 0.010604 0.021121 0.051859 0.219183
2025-06-08 0.002516 0.003801 0.006056 0.010851 0.022901 0.062456 0.350131
2025-06-15 0.002347 0.003594 0.005827 0.010728 0.023688 0.070443 0.516035
2025-06-22 0.002151 0.003318 0.005438 0.010179 0.023117 0.072710 0.646727
2025-06-29 0.002023 0.003154 0.005244 0.010041 0.023721 0.080955 0.990603
2025-07-06 0.001930 0.003056 0.005190 0.010283 0.025830 0.100879 2.381683
2025-07-13 0.001870 0.003015 0.005250 0.010839 0.029388 0.137809 12.814186
2025-07-20 0.001798 0.002943 0.005234 0.011198 0.032534 0.183012 480.704577
2025-07-27 0.001705 0.002819 0.005091 0.011179 0.034224 0.223651 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001620 0.002705 0.004955 0.011151 0.035915 0.274626 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001526 0.002566 0.004746 0.010866 0.036294 0.313080 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001426 0.002407 0.004477 0.010349 0.035304 0.327606 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001345 0.002280 0.004271 0.009994 0.035012 0.357737 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001306 0.002236 0.004251 0.010221 0.038039 0.492188 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001250 0.002154 0.004133 0.010108 0.039112 0.598389 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001177 0.002031 0.003908 0.009602 0.037561 0.603693 NaN